Economy
Nigeria Hit with the Worst Fuel Scarcity Yet
Nigeria is the main oil producer in Africa and is currently the continent’s largest crude oil exporter. This status however holds no value for Nigerians who have now been accustomed to fuel scarcity in varying degrees being a constant challenge.
In 2024 alone, the country has been hit with two fuel scarcity crises. The first occurred from April to May when the fuel cost increased by 68.01% on a year-on-year basis from N842. 25 per litre in April 2023 to N1415. 06 per litre in April 2024. The second crisis is ongoing. It has seen the petrol price rise to N1,050 per liter in a matter of days from the average of N770.54 recorded in July 2024. This fuel scarcity is another addition to the ongoing cost of living crisis Africa’s largest economy is experiencing.
Nigeria’s Cost of Living Crisis Continues to Soar
During his inaugural speech on May 29, 2023, President Tinubu announced an end to fuel subsidies in the country, citing that continuing subsidies were unsustainable and a drain on public finances. The president acknowledged in another address on June 12, 2023, that although halting the subsidies added a burden on the people of Nigeria it was crucial to the country’s economic survival. Over a year after this bold move by the government, most Nigerians are struggling to make ends meet sparking protests across the country.
NOIPolls, an independent pollster in West Africa disclosed in 2023 that 63% of adult Nigerians surveyed across the country desire to relocate to other countries. The lack of economic opportunities is the primary motivator for leaving Nigeria. As the “Japa”— a colloquial term for emigration— itch among Nigerians intensifies, the youth who can’t leave have sought to earn an income remotely working for foreign companies, gambling on international online casinos, and working multiple low-level jobs.
The prices of food, cooking gas, medication, and public transport have risen since President Tinubu assumed office in May 2023. This rising cost of living has been a result of the naira’s poor performance against the dollar and the instability of the country’s economy. Nigerians have had to survive through high levels of inflation not experienced before in the country for three decades.
According to the World Food Programme, 26.5 million people across the country are projected to face acute hunger between June and August 2024. This is an almost 40% increase from the 18.6 million Nigerians recorded to have faced food insecurity at the end of 2023. This new fuel scarcity crisis has seen Nigerians make long queues at filling stations to access petrol, led to significant increases in transport fares, and resulted in losses for businesses that rely on fuel to power them.
NNPC Explains Cause of Current Fuel Scarcity
In response to rising concerns about fuel scarcity in the country, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) through Dapo Segun, the Vice President, attributed the ongoing fuel scarcity to the impact of the recent heavy rains, lightning, and thunderstorms across the country. Mr Segun explained that the rains had caused saltation in the Estragos channel making navigation difficult and thus hindering the transportation of petroleum products across the country. Additionally, Seun reported that fuel discharge from both onshore and tankers had been suspended occasionally due to lightning and thunderstorms. These three natural extreme weather conditions have made distributing petroleum products across the country challenging.
As the NNPCL vows to resolve the fuel scarcity crisis soon, Nigerians are looking to two other refineries that were set to begin operations to ease the cost of fuel burden. The Dangote Refinery is expected to begin selling petrol in Nigeria by the end of this August. The chairman of the Dangote Group, Aliko Danknote, who had committed to this milestone is positive that his company will meet the target. Additionally, the Port Harcourt refinery is expected to be operational and supplying petroleum products across the country by September 2024 as assured by the group chief executive officer of the NNPCL, Mele Kyari. This will be the third time the refinery’s operational month has been moved this year following its mechanical completion in December 2023.
The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), on the other hand, has accused the NNPCL of actively contributing to fuel scarcity by failing to provide petroleum products to its members even after payment. IPMAN disclosed that even though payment to the state oil company was made three months ago members have been forced to purchase petroleum products from private depots whose prices are significantly higher. IPMAN is now calling on the government and other key stakeholders in the oil industry to intervene in the situation to lessen these hardships.
Citizens of Africa’s largest crude oil producer and exporter are now no longer surprised by fuel scarcity in their cities. While many try to find ways to survive under the new economic hardships, others opt to leave the country in search of greener pastures. It is evident that Africa’s largest economy is on the brink of collapsing should the government not turn around the economic situation soon.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited suffered a 0.11 per cent loss on Thursday after the bears made a comeback after being chased away by the bulls a day earlier.
The local bourse was under attack despite a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment after it ended with 29 appreciating stocks and 23 depreciating stocks.
Business Post observed that profit-taking in some mid-equities plunged Customs Street during the trading session, with Fidson shedding 9.60 per cent to trade at N17.90.
Ecobank Nigeria depreciated by 9.51 per cent to sell for N31.40, Guinea Insurance lost 8.33 per cent to quote at 66 Kobo, Prestige Assurance slipped by 7.50 per cent to N1.11, and Sunu Assurances crashed by 6.44 per cent to N5.52.
On the flip side, PZ Cussons gained 10.00 per cent to settle at N32.45, Oando improved by 10.00 per cent to N52.80, Honeywell Flour appreciated by 9.96 per cent to N13.03, Caverton jumped by 9.80 per cent to N2.69, and Livestock Feeds rose by 9.35 per cent to N6.90.
Yesterday, the energy counter appreciated by 0.88 per cent and was the only gainer among the key sectors of the market.
The insurance sector went down by 0.92 per cent, the banking index depreciated by 0.75 per cent, the industrial goods space crumbled by 0.43 per cent, and the consumer goods sector lost 0.17 per cent, while the commodity counter closed flat.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) decreased by 123.53 points to 107,675.46 points from 107,798.99 points and the market capitalisation retreated by N77 billion to N67.102 trillion from N67.179 trillion.
A total of 423.4 million equities worth N9.6 billion were traded in 11,112 deals on Thursday compared with the 245.5 million equities valued at N8.4 billion transacted in 10,098 deals on Wednesday, representing a rise in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 72.46 per cent, 14.29 per cent and 10.04 per cent, apiece.
The activity chart was topped by FCMB with 102.3 million stocks valued at N1.1 billion, Zenith Bank transacted 33.3 million equities worth N1.6 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 31.2 million shares for N801.9 million, Jaiz Bank traded 24.4 million equities worth N82.0 million, and Caverton sold 20.9 million stocks valued at N54.6 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The federal government, the 36 states, and the 774 local government areas of the federation have shared a total of N1.703 trillion in revenue generated in January 2025.
This amount represents an increase of 19.6 per cent or N279 billion from the N1.424 trillion generated in December 2024.
This is according to a press release by the Director (Press and Public Relations) at the Office of the Accountant General of the Federation, Mr Bawa Mokwa, on Thursday,
The N1.703 trillion total distributable revenue comprises N749.727 billion in statutory revenue, N718.781 billion in Value Added Tax revenue, N20.548 billion from the Electronic Money Transfer Levy, and N214 billion in augmentation.
The statement was based on a communique issued by the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) after its monthly meeting for February 2025.
It noted that the total gross revenue amounted to N2.641 trillion, which was slightly higher than the N2.310 trillion recorded in the previous month.
The total deduction for cost of collection was N107.786 billion while total transfers, interventions, refunds and savings was N830.663 billion.
It was disclosed that the federal government received N552.591 billion, state governments were allocated N590.614 billion, and the Local Government Councils received N434.567 billion, while an additional N125.284 billion was shared with benefiting states as derivation revenue as 13 per cent of mineral revenue.
The statement further noted that the gross statutory revenue for the month under review stood at N1.848 trillion, an increase of N622.125 billion from the N1.226 trillion recorded a month earlier.
Gross VAT revenue for the month was N771.886 billion, rising by N122.325 billion from N649.561 billion in December.
From the N749.727 billion statutory revenue, the federal government got N343.612bn, the state governments were given N174.285 billion, and the councils received N134.366 billion, while N97.464 billion was also allocated to states benefiting from derivation revenue.
Further, from the N718.781 billion VAT revenue, the federal government received N107.817 billion, state governments were got N359.391 billion, and Local Government Councils shared N251.573 billion.
For the N20.548 billion Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL), the federal government received N3.082 billion, state governments received N7.192 billion, and Local Government Councils received N10.274 billion.
The N214 billion augmentation was shared with the federal government receiving N98.080 billion, state governments receiving N49.747 billion, and Local Government Councils receiving N38.353 billion, while N27.820 billion was shared among the benefiting states as derivation revenue.
The communique also highlighted increases in collections from VAT, Petroleum Profit Tax, Companies Income Tax, Excise Duty, Import Duty, and CET Levies, while there was a significant decrease in EMTL and Oil and Gas Royalty receipts.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices rose more than 2 per cent on Thursday amid supply concerns after the US President, Mr Donald Trump, revoked a licence granted to US oil major, Chevron, to operate in Venezuela.
The news led Brent crude oil futures to spike by $1.53 or 2.1 per cent to $74.06 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures increased by $1.64 or 2.4 per cent to $70.26.
The Chevron licence revocation means the company will no longer be able to export Venezuelan crude.
However, if Venezuelan state oil company, PDVSA, exports oil previously exported by Chevron, US refineries will be unable to buy it because of U.S. sanctions.
President Trump said this was due to the lack of electoral reform in the South American country alongside with insufficient action on migration.
Chevron has been exporting around 240,000 barrels of Venezuelan crude to the US daily after former US President Joe Biden granted them a waiver.
The amount constitutes around 25 per cent of the country’s total oil production and generates substantial revenues that stay in the Venezuelan economy.
Meanwhile, market analysts noted that the move could also lead to the negotiation of a fresh agreement between the Chevron and PDVSA to export crude to destinations other than the US.
This development could also impact the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, to which Venezuela is a member.
Chevron’s exit could reduce Venezuela oil’s production, giving OPEC+ capacity to increase output.
However, investors were still keeping an eye on signs of a potential peace deal in Ukraine, which could result in higher Russian oil flows.
President Trump said Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will visit the US on Friday to sign an agreement on rare earth minerals.
However, the Ukrainian leader said the success of talks would hinge on continued US aid.
The market was pressured by news that US economic growth slowed in the fourth quarter amid cold weather and concerns that tariffs will hurt spending through higher prices.
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